Tag Archives: Saskatoon City Council

This is what an independent council looks like

From the Globe and Mail.  Can you imagine Saskatoon City Councillors ever speaking out this freely.  Neither can I.

“We’ve basically given in to everything the province has ever wanted from us, in order to be able to name a few stations after John Tory’s campaign pledge,” said Councillor Gord Perks.

“If you track the change in language since Mayor John Tory was elected, the things that the province was prepared to pay for is smaller and smaller and the things the city has to pay for get bigger and bigger. And all of this for something that doesn’t look remotely like what the mayor campaigned on.”

TTC Chair and Councillor Josh Colle acknowledged the difficulty of finding these funds but said it was part of the cost of expanding the transit system.

“I think the honest conversation that has to happen is about how do we fund the services that we provide in this city,” Mr. Colle said. “If we want these things, then citizens and councillors have to be willing to take steps to pay for them.”

More from Perks from Inside Toronto

“It’s certainly not what we were promised,” said Parkdale-High Park Councillor Gord Perks. “It’s much less at a much higher cost and there are two or three brand new costs being dumped on the city that have nothing to do with SmartTrack.”

I can’t remember once in the last decade where Saskatoon City Councillors were this blunt with their opposition of a project.

Your private contact information is a political commodity

One thing I hope that Saskatoon City Council cracks down on is the sharing of our personal information with City Councillors for political reasons.

It’s a well known fact that your City Councillor has mailing lists for emails.  You email them and they take your personal email address and add it to their email database.

Well, that is against the Privacy Act which makes exceptions for political parties (gross) but local councillors are not political parties despite what their delusions of grandeur tell them.

Then what I have heard countless stories of in this campaign was the sharing of those lists in whole or in part with other candidates.  Maybe it is a neighborhood here and there that have changed wards in the new boundaries.  Sometimes it is from a previous campaign or an ally in the provincial government.  Either way is clear violation of the law and it is one that is just laughed at.

If a company did this, they would charged, convicted, and fined.  The fact that our own elected officials do this with a wink, wink, nudge, nudge for political purposes is bizarre at best.

Of course there is one exception to this and that is Charlie Clark who operated an opt in mailing list using his website and published a really good newsletter.  I hope he does the same as mayor.  My point is that if Clark can easily do this and follow the rules, so can the rest of Saskatoon City Council.

Some thoughts on Pat Lorje losing in Ward 2

Pat LorjeSome of you know this but Pat Lorje is a good friend of Wendy‘s and mine.  She was a friend as a councilor and I am proud to call her a friend of mine now that she is not.

I don’t have any thoughts on her loss, the people of Ward 2 did that but I am going to share something about Pat which will probably make her mad.  Why, because Pat has the honor of telling me off for more columns than anyone else.   Not only that but she does it better than anyone else.  More about that later.

Pat won’t remember this but I remember literally running into her in the Legislature.  I was running for the Progressive Conservatives under Bill Boyd in the 1995 election and Pat was a NDP MLA.

Along with Bill Boyd and Dan D’Autremount I was heading to the Legislative cafeteria.  Storming at us was Pat Lorje who informed us that they were serving liver (I think).  That stopped all of us in our tracks and we all took her lead and headed the other way.  I am not sure where Pat had lunch but the Tories went to Outback Steakhouse.

Later I crossed her at The Salvation Army and we met more formally.  She had made some incorrect statements (I’m trolling her) about social agencies and we invited her to talk with us about her concerns.  We dealt with each other on a variety of issues and later became good friends.

Not only did she become my friend but Wendy’s and Mark‘s as well.   Privately during the worst of Wendy’s depression a few years ago, Pat’s ability to project her personality literally helped Wendy get through the tough times.  For Wendy, if Pat could deal with the city, she could get through her depression.

She was over at our house once with several other politicos.  She told a funny story about a politician that Mark should not have heard and one that hated me (still hates me) deeply. The problem was that Mark was sitting very quietly and as still as a statue in the corner because he wanted to hear this story.  Pat noticed him about the same time everyone else did and didn’t miss a beat and introduced herself by the name of the politician she was talking about.

If Pat phones, Mark will still tell me, [insert scandalized politician’s name here] called.

Pat’s friendship always surprises some people because we have very different opinions on a lot of things.  I have taken aim at her in more than one column.  Those columns have always been greeted with a phone call and being told exactly why I am wrong in very clear language.  Generally I explain back why she is completely wrong. I don’t think either one of us have ever backed down.

Of course the only thing I did that made her really mad was several years ago.  Sean Shaw and I disagreed with a policy she had worked on for years and we had both lobbied the rest of council to vote against it.  They did and Pat was livid.  After a week of being told off, we made peace at the Rook and Raven.  We didn’t concede anything but we did pick up her glass of wine.

Like all losses there are a lot of factors.  Hilary Gough ran a winning campaign and there was a feeling of change that moved across the city.  Only Montgomery voted for the status quo and Atchison and no doubt that hurt Lorje.

So why am I writing this?  I don’t know but there seems to be a general lack of class that happens by the chattering masses when someone loses.  There was more than post and tweet that crossed the line.  Yet there is a side to all politicians that we never see.  Pat Lorje wasn’t just the Ward 2 councilor or a politician, she was and is a great friend to my family.  I’ll miss debating with her but I look forward to spending time in the future.

Some last minute election thoughts

  1. I think Charlie Clark wins the mayoral campaign because they a) have lists and b) the ground game.  That being said with my prior history of election predictions…  I really have no idea.
  2. Despite every suggesting otherwise, I really have no contact with the Clark campaign.  The last time Charlie and I talked was at Sean Shaw’s goodbye party and we talked about how many cameras I owned.  In a weird role reversal, I couldn’t give him an answer.  I was sick pretty much since then and didn’t attend any City Council meetings.  On the other hand, I endorsed him so some of you will call me a Charlie Clark stooge.  It happens.
  3. I don’t really know what happened to the Moore campaign but it seems to be a bunch of stances that over reached and from the emails and comments I got, started to undermine some trust and confidence.  The “hands in the cookie jar” release was brutal.  It never should have happened.  Here is why.  When you make an attack like that, people have to believe something is up.  The things with Charlie Clark and Donald Atchison, people believe that if either one of them found your wallet full of cash on the street, they would call you up and give you back.   There isn’t a hint of scandal around Atchison or Clark.    When you go negative at that time, your attacks backfire.  It also undermines your efforts to be a victim with mean tweets videos right after.  So yeah, it was a bad week.
  4. I also think saying Saskatoon is in a financial crisis was mistake from the Moore campaign.  I have looked and looked and looked at those numbers.  I have asked City Hall staff, other councilors, gone through my vast database and even talked to a contact at a rival rating service.  Saskatoon is not in a financial crisis.  The credit card is kind of maxed out for a few year while we pay some stuff off but it’s not a crisis.  Most of the debt is at a really low rate.  I don’t agree with all of it but things go back to normal in a few years.  Finally for the last two years councilors have been having casual conversations with me about future spending and slowing it down.  They have concerns as well but there does seem to be some plans in place for prioritizing things.
  5. I think campaigns do this often but instead of doing what you were doing to get close to the lead, they decide to do something different to push them over the top.  In the end, it almost never works.  Instead, double down on the strategies that made people like you in the first place. 
  6. Some of the campaign teams have expressed regret for how this campaign got out of control.  To them I say… well I want to say…. okay… I am going to say it, “Fuck you”.  You are the ones that did what you did to make it get out hand for short term gain to win shots against the other side that no one cared about.  You could have said no but you didn’t so don’t express regret to me that relationships are ruined and that people (including people who are just voters) got hurt.  You did it with eyes wide open and you knew the consequences to friends and the city.  So yeah, I don’t care if you are sorry.  Nothing is worth lying about, attacking people personally, and basically being assholes in the name of power.  As someone hilariously tweeted, the good news is that one Wednesday night, three mayoral campaigns will have lost.
  7. Who ever runs the SassyGal account has cost the Moore campaign many votes, including Wendy’s.  Moore’s campaign team has said over and over to me that it isn’t them but then distance your campaign from it by calling it out.  Sadly as anyone who reads it knows that it is an insider writing it and it reflects poorly on the entire campaign.  When Jason Kenney does a better job of distancing himself from troll accounts than local campaigns do, you have a problem.  Amazing how an account with only 65 followers can do so much damage. 
  8. I have no idea what is going to happen in Ward 2, Ward 6, Ward 8, or Ward 9.  Incumbents win in the rest.
  9. I am not cut out for politics.  The practice of a campaign where every four years you try to end someone’s career isn’t something that I enjoy watching.

At the end of the campaign, the mayor is going to have to lead a very divided city.

This is why I am voting for Darren Hill in Ward 1

Wendy and I live in a tough neighborhood in Saskatoon.  Some of our neighbors struggle and Wendy and I hear about those struggles.  For whatever reason they have problems with City Hall and they talk to Wendy about it.  The first answer is to have them talk to Darren HIll.  The story is always the same.  Darren helps them.  There is a phrase that you can’t fight City Hall.  Well sometimes you don’t have to.

Darren Hill campaigning for a tigers votes in 2012

That stuff matters to me.  Knowing that people who have had a rough time struggle can get help.  They can with Darren.  One of Wendy’s co-workers had no luck with her councilor and Wendy mistakenly told her to talk to Darren (thinking about where she worked rather than where she lived).  Darren helped her resolve her issue in minutes.

The other reason I endorse him is that a lot of people online think I hate Darren and always want me to run against him.  We joke around online and he torments Wendy (It’s a hilarious story and Mark and I are firmly on Darren’s side on this) in person and online but I agree with many of his stands and have no reason to run against him.  There were some votes that made me question what he was thinking but overall he does a good job representing the diverse Ward 1 and his constituents and deserves another term on Saskatoon City Council.

Here is funny story to pass along. I can’t remember the reason but someone called The StarPhoenix wanting to talk to me about something.  In that situation The StarPhoenix doesn’t give out my cell but I get the message and a return number emailed to me.  So I call a women up and somehow it came out of nowhere that she hates Darren so much, she can’t even stand to see his name is writing.  Later that day I was talking to him and he knew who I was talking about without me giving him the persons name.  He can’t resolve all of the issues but I know he has made an effort on so many of them.  For the record, I think that hating an elected official so much you hate to see their name in print in next level. 

About that photo, I grabbed it from Flickr account and at first glance, the photo’s thumbnail looked like he was dropping a baby.  Instead he is campaigning for white tigers votes at the Saskatoon Zoo.  You just know that sometime during this photo op there was some bloodshed as the tiger tried to attack him. 

Ward 5 Roundtable

Last Tuesday Lenore Swystun, Hilary Nelson and myself sat down with Randy Donauer and Paul Miazga and chatted for 30 minutes about Ward 5, challenges confronting the city, and why we should vote for them.

The audio stinks in this because I haven’t had any time at all to edit it, play with the levels and convert to MP3 since last week. I’ll fix it tomorrow morning.

Marley vs. Darren Hill

So some of you have wondered what is up with the Marley vs. Darren Hill thing.  Some of you think too much.  Don’t read too much into it.  I live in Ward 1, Marley lives in Ward 1, Hill is the councilor and incumbent in Ward 1…

There really isn’t much thinking at all about it.  Hilary’s sister’s cat Nano is making a credible run for Mayor and Marley is joining the slate.  In other words it was a late night joke that seemed funny at night but really isn’t right now.

Marley for Ward 1 Councilor

My other point for doing this is to show how easy it is for anyone to do a personal page.  It drove me crazy when I can’t find an elected officials website and when I call them on it, they always go, “well I need to get it redesigned” or some other excuse.

For most politicians, the reason I am on their website is that I need some information from them, like a phone number or a email address to contact them with.  It means an About.me or similar page would do all of that for people really, really easily.  You can even use your own domain name with it.

So if you are a prospective councilor, school board trustee, or any elected official, put one of these together and make it easier for people to find you.  It takes 5 minutes and if you use the about.me url, it’s free.

Ward 2 Roundtable

The Ward 2 Saskatoon City Council Roundtable

Lenore Swystun, Hilary Nelson, and myself hosted three charming candidates on running to be your Ward 2 councilor Saskatoon City Councilor on CFCR’s Civicly Speaking.

In the studio was incumbent Pat Lorje, Mark Zielke, and Hilary Gough who gave overviews of why they are running, what they are running on and how they would meet the challenges of the city in the next term.

You can listen to the MP3 of the show below.

Tonight at 6:30 Lenore and I host Ward 3 Councilor Ann Iwanchuk.  Challenger Mark Mills can’t make it.

A friendly note from Darren Hill

… to anyone who is thinking of running against him in 2016.

CAMPAIGN UPDATE

Many of you have offered to volunteer on the campaign. I am extremely grateful for the outpouring of support. I am very fortunate to have lots of the team from the last three elections returning, however, some friends and family have moved away and we would welcome the help.

Here is an update of where we are at and if any of the opportunities are of interest to you I would be happy to have you on the team.

Completed:
* Billboards / bus benches / portable Signs
* Senior Citizen policy team & events
* Fundraising committee work
* Policy committee work
* All 10 brochures designed – 2 printed and 8 ready to go
* GOTV Team coordinated
* Half the lawn signs will go out early next week and the remainder as soon as the opponent declares
* Posters going up Monday
* Vehicle wraps (x3) ready to go if required

In other words, if you run against me, I’ll crush you and take away your desire to ever hold public office again.   Also from the looks at the Senior Citizens policy work, he’ll win your grandparents support and have you disowned.    It’s going to be awkward when your parents are driving around in one of his Darren Hill wrapped vehicles.

Race for Ward 10 Just Got Dirty

Mattea Merta's Campaign Door Hanger

There is a lot going on in this door hanger by Mattea Merta.  So we must:

  1. Cut spending in the city and only concentrate on core services
  2. Build a pool for Ward 10 families.

Okay then.

The fun line in all of this is the attack on Zach Jeffries which may not be that accurate.  If I recall, Jeffries is contracted out by Junior Achievement’s board as a contractor to do certain programs.  A distinction that is kind of important.  It’s a piece of literature that seems to reflect the worst in civic politics and gives people a reason to by cynical.  Not that way I would want to start my campaign.

Also, I hate being that guy but it’s rein in taxes, not reign in taxes.

Some quick takes on Saskatoon City Council races

This is what I think I think.

  • Dayday is not a credible candidate.  His Twitter handle links to a domain name that is currently unregistered.  If you can’t register your own domain name and set up a website, why are you even running.  This seems more about a blood feud with Atch than anything else.
  • If crime becomes an issue in the election, both the Mayor and Clark are in trouble.  Both have been around forever and it’s gotten worse on their watch.
  • I haven’t seen a lawn sign on public property yet.  This is is a good thing.  Can we keep them off of public property?  It makes the city look like crap and boulevards don’t vote.
  • In the spring, Darren gave Wendy some gardening advice.  She ignored it (because she always ignores good gardening advice) and our garden sucks despite the heat and the rain.  It’s a bit of the sore spot with Wendy and one that we enjoy rubbing salt in.  Anyways I point this out because one candidate ran in 2012 because they thought the front runner was rude on the doorstep.  Not that I am saying that Wendy is running but it’s amazing what motivates people to run for office.
  • Everyone is telling me what the impact on Kelley Moore’s entrance into the race will be but none of us have any idea.  It’s been 48 hours.  No one knows how a campaign is going to go after only 48 hours.  For right now, she has a long hill to climb but remember, when Nenshi started, he was dead last and considered and after thought.  Even the election that saw Atch election, he was behind before a violent assault happened downtown and shook up the race.  No lead is safe in civic races.
  • I was really surprised that Atch has been taking the summer off of campaigning.  I was challenged on Twitter that he has the right approach and by lying low, he makes himself as small as target as possible.   On the flipside, I am even hearing from candidates in areas that most would define as Atch’s base that people really want change.  I still think if he loses that the election could have been lost in August.

A Short Disclaimer

Some of you have asked if I am helping with any political campaigns in the municipal election.  The answer is no.  I did no work on campaigns in the provincial or federal election either.

I will let you know that Wendy and I are friends with a few candidates and councilors like Jeff Jackson and Zach Jeffries.  I have hundreds if not thousands of political discussions over the last five or six years with them, often mocking and criticizing them.  I have called out Zach in columns and in the blog and I think I have been fair when I have done it.  I can tell you that I have never pulled a punch or a criticism of a politician because of a friendship and that has ended some friendship (which sucks by the way).

If Jeff wins, I can’t promise to call him out but if he does anything stupid or against the interests of the city, I most definitely will call him out on it somewhere.  He knows that and I am sure will tell me how wrong I am at a high volume when I do.

Some ask me if that influences what I write about.  Yes and no.  No in the sense that they don’t give me direction on what to write about.  Yes in that some of them are also reading and researching aspects of urban life and they bring up some interesting idea of policy being looked at or implemented somewhere, I read it and research it myself.  It’s just nerds sharing ideas on urbanism and cities. 

Wendy and I are both friends with Councilor Pat Lorje.  Both Mark and Oliver would consider her a friend as well.  Now that I think about it, most of our conversations have to do politics outside of Saskatoon.  American politics and even some Spanish discussions.  She also has given Wendy and I some solid parenting advice which we appreciate.  For those of you who follow my writing, you know that Councilor Lorje and I are on the opposite sides of some issues that both of us feel quite strongly about.  She has gone to great extent to telling me how wrong I was on columns in the past and I assure you she will in the future.

I also have a good working and personal relationship with Councilor Darren Hill.  We have grabbed the occasional drink over the years and mostly discussed issues relating the ward and city.  Most of those were constituent – councilor conversations but like all of politicos we do talk politics.  We also have disagreed on things over the years.  I have endorsed him the last two campaigns.  I may or may not this one but I think it is fair to Darren and anyone who is running against him to wait and see campaign platforms before I endorse.

Wendy and I both get along with socially with some other councilors.  I don’t offer up that much in policy suggestions but if I have read something similar to what they are musing about, I tend to fire them off some things.

Before you accuse me of being too close to council, let’s recall they hired a RCMP investigator to investigate non-existent leaks to me.   I also think as a group they collectively are one of the worst city councils in Canada.  Some of them have personally expressed their contempt and hatred of me in person and in writing.   I try not to take it personally.

Those of you who have seen me having a drink or a coffee with a politician need to know this, they aren’t asking me for advice and if they are good at what they do, they ignore any advice they give them.  I don’t care about the political process which is bad for a politician in an election year.  I am not a strategist, a tactician, or anything else.  I am a friend and a pundit but I tend to stay out of it during campaigns other than listen to funny door-knocking stories. 

If you have any thoughts or concerns about my objectivity, let me know.  I’d love to hear them.

Saskatoon City Council Roundup

  • I updated the Candidate tracking page here. With Jeff Jackson’s candidacy, Evan Drisner and Charlie Clark campaign websites.
  • Jeff is a good friend of mine.  I am just tossing that out there in terms of disclosure.
  • A little shocked to read that Drisner singing the praises of Eric Olauson.  Most would have considered Olauson a terrible councilor that contributed little to the city.   He was unprepared for most meetings I watched, didn’t appear to have read his council packet, and was more interested in his version of partisanship than anything about constituents.  Yes he was elected as a MLA but on the coat tails of the most popular Premier in provincial history.
  • I have heard from several that Atchison’s fundraiser was not a success.  Corporate tables sold out but where full of junior associates and staff and the individual seats were less then half full.  Oddly enough people keep pointing out that Atch didn’t thank people individually or work the room.
  • Atch isn’t marching in the Saskatoon Pride Parade again.  I really wish this wasn’t an issue and that had done it before.  He is invited every year and every year he comes up with a ridiculous excuse (or just is silent) on why he doesn’t do it.  I’m not a politician but I too am missing the Pride Parade.  Wendy, Oliver, Mark and I are hiking to Grey Owl’s cabin that weekend.  We have attended in the past though.
  • For those of you who say, “It’s his personal choice if he wants to attend the event.”   Fair enough but no one forced him to run as mayor either. When you seek public office, there are certain obligations.  As almost every Canadian mayor and politician has shown, marking in a Pride parade is an important part of that.

Ward 3: Running Against Ann Iwanchuk

Councillor Ann IwanchukThis election series is dragging on as long as the GOP nomination race.  I had hoped the series would have been done by now but I’ve been sick with the leg again (still).  The medication is taking a lot out of me. 

I’ve tackled Ward 1 (Darren Hill), Ward 2 (Pat Lorje), and now it is off to Ward 3 and a look at one would run against Ann Iwanchuk if you were going to do so.

Well we onto Ward 3, a race that has become far less interesting with it looking like Mike San Miguel won’t be running again.  So there will be no Iwanchuk/San Miguel III, something that political pundits all over the city will miss watching.

Ann Iwanchuk won in a 2011 by-election and won in 2012 against Mike San Miguel.  Some people feel that San Miguel would have won if he hadn’t put out a poorly thought out attack ad on the last week of the campaign.  He may have but the attack ad went out and Iwanchuk won. 

This is how close the election was.  Ann Iwanchuk was driving the #11 car.

Ann Iwanchuk wins the 2012 election and 2016 Daytona 500

(okay, that was actually Denny Hamlin winning the 2016 Daytona 500 but you get the point… it was a close race). 

With Mike San Miguel not running again, Ann Iwanchuk should have a clear path to re-election.  If I was thinking about running against her, I hope I’d have someone to talk me out of it.  Here is why.

  1. Iwanchuk is a one term incumbent.  She has name recognition in the Ward.  That isn’t everything.  Rik Steernberg had it and was killed by Iwanchuk in the by-election that saw her win her seat on council but still, it’s a big advantage.
  2. Her husband, Andy Iwanchuk was also a long term MLA in the area.  That helps a lot with name recognition and also a network for a campaign team.
  3. She was backed heavily by labour in the last election and it’s an area where labour matters.  Again, it’s not just the money that matters, it is unions endorsing her.
  4. Iwanchuk is fairly quiet in council (well compared to some of her colleagues) and hasn’t made any boneheaded statements.  I disagree with some of what she says but that doesn’t mean that what she said wasn’t thought out.  So unlike many long term councilors, there isn’t this collection of memories of head shaking moments that might be embedded in an electorate.
  5. I have long heard she handles constituent problems and issues promptly and thoroughly.
  6. Lastly several councilors have told me that she is incredibly effective in closed door meetings (yeah I know, another in-camera leak)
  7. Her expenses are boring.  The only thing that stands out is that she sponsored a tournament with the Saskatoon Aces (no one else did anything like that which I find interesting as I think hockey parents are a good voting block to target).  I guess this would the ideal time to point out that her website is offline.  Maybe some more money spent on expenses would be helpful.

So if you want to waste a couple of months of your life and $15,000 so you run against her, here is how I would do it:

  1. Ignore the Mike San Miguel vote totals.  Those came in a by-election and then a quick election just months afterwards in which San Miguel worked hard the entire time building profile and voter blocs.  I don’t think it is going to be replicated.
  2. While Iwanchuk is reportedly excellent with dealing with constituents, she is only a first term councilor.  That means that there is a good chance she hasn’t had to deal with so many voters that they have all developed a bond yet.   That is a small opening but if you are looking for hope, keep looking there.
  3. I wrote after the transit lockout how much people living in her ward were hurt by the lockout and how silent all councilors were all over it.   Being a councilor in a Ward where transit is heavily relied on (and offers some horrible service), that could be a significant issue in some parts of the ward.  The problem is that will they vote in significant numbers on one issue?  I doubt it.   I only bring that up because if there is one councilor that would be hurt by it, it would be her because of the demographics of Ward 3. 
  4. The biggest threat to Iwanchuk is if a tide of change sweeps through council.  If the preferred mayoral candidate runs on a platform of change and it catches, it will bring out voters that are looking for something different.  That isn’t limited to Iwanchuk, that is every politician.  That being said, I just don’t see it.  As I will get to in a later post, I think the status quo will be the defining story of this election.

You are basically reduced to door knocking and hoping your well liked incumbent thinks the election is in November of 2017.  Good luck with that.

It’s going to be a boring election in Ward 3 no matter who runs against Ann Iwanchuk.  While I have heard of one person considering a run, by the time the summer comes along, I could see her run for re-election be uncontested.

Ward 2: Running Against Pat Lorje

Here is the next edition of “Running for City Council”.  Darren Hill and Ward 1 were featured here.  Now I wander across 33rd Street into Ward 1 where we look at Pat Lorje, the long time councilor of the riding.

Saskatoon Ward 1 Councilor Pat LorjePat Lorje is currently a city councilor for Ward 2 in Saskatoon,Saskatchewan. She previously held the same position from 1979 to 1991, when she resigned to stand as the New Democratic candidate in Saskatoon Wildwood in the 1991 provincial election.  She was re-elected to the Ward in 2006, 2009, and 2012.

So yeah, she has some name recognition in the Ward and gets a lot of her support from the neighborhoods of Montgomery and Caswell Hill.  It’s not that other neighborhoods don’t like her, it is just that none of the turn out in enough number to determine an election. 

So what would my strategy be if I was running against a well known incumbent councilor?  During the last election, a politician said that it didn’t matter what their opponent did, they just had to worry about getting to a certain number of votes and there was a number of ways to get to that vote total.  The same thing would apply in Ward 2 and the secret is to cobbling together a coalition of voters who are frustrated with city life in Ward 2 and getting them out to vote.  This is how I would do it.

Montgomery

The NDP haven’t faced a serious re-election battle in Riversdale since Jo-Ann Zazelenchuk beat Roy Romanow in 1982.  They generally won handily in the area but that has started to change.  I have written before about the declining margins of victory that Danielle Chartier has won by in Saskatoon Riversdale which has gotten to the point where she is vulnerable to being beaten by the right Saskatchewan Party candidate (Not sure Marv Friesen is that candidate but you never know).  My point is that it looks like parts of that ward are voting right wing more often.  No longer is Montgomery home to veterans, it is home to an eclectic group of people who haven’t been voting for Lorje since before I was born.

Despite Montgomery being her base, it’s been a tough time for the neighborhood.  Despite several passionate speeches to City Council, Lorje wasn’t able to stop the wind turbine (which was a good idea until it came back economically unfeasible) and the construction of hundreds of new units of apartments.  The new City Operations Centre is going south of Montgomery.  The South Circle Drive Bridge and Circle Drive bring 24 hour traffic noise by Montgomery.    For a community that thinks of itself as a first among equals, much has changed a lot and people aren’t happy about it.  In the end, the wind turbine might have been the best of all things that could have happened.

Convincing those voters to either vote for you or stay at home on election day.

The Montgomery Apartments

Even if the older part of Montgomery holds, there are a lot of new voters to the community in those apartments.  They aren’t long term supporters of Lorje and are open to anyone who is going to go after them.  A flyer drop to those apartments reinforcing some of Lorje’s and Montgomery’s residents statements about those apartments could make it really awkward for her. 

Riversdale

The same thing with the Riversdale BID.  Lorje has been a large proponent of the business aspect part of it but against social programs being located there.  In a community that has seen it’s share of gentrification, a campaign reminding voters that Lorje has been against the services that are needed to help them could bring out voters in Riversdale.    Lorje and I have disagreed for years on these kinds of policies but that doesn’t matter.  If the voter is against gentrification, the answer is that it has happened because of the focus on business development on 20th Street with the kind of growth that has locked out local people.  If they are frustrated with the ongoing issues with crime and social issues, it is because there is no room for the social agencies to help them.  The question always is will Riversdale and Pleasant Hill  turn out in enough numbers to vote?  History says no.

Crime

Crime is rising in the city (thank goodness the City of Saskatoon Police were there to save us from the Compassion Club) and it is increasingly violent and more serious in Ward 2 where it is heavily concentrated.  This is one of those issues that is almost impossible to blame on Lorje, the issues are beyond the control of any one councilor but because of the incredible density of it in Ward 2 residents feel it.  To be honest, this isn’t a big issue to attack the incumbent with and it won’t be that hard to beat back but it could be problematic if people are frustrated in Meadow Green, Caswell Hill, Riversdale, and Pleasant Hill and are asked, “Do you feel safer than you were in 2012?”  For most, the answer is no.

Swept Away?

Is Lorje prone to be swept away if a sea of change finally hits City Hall?  Actually no.  That is the advantage of being an outspoken councilor, she has her own brand of politics that is separate from the rest of City Councils.  If a mood to change sweeps across the mighty South Saskatchewan River, Lorje is in a good place to ride it out.

Re-Election Chances 

It all comes down to whether or not someone can figure out the issues to motivate your coalition of voters to turn out on election day.  I think it could happen but it would be a long and drawn out campaign combined with a mayoral campaign that can bring out non typical voters.  If that happens, it could be the race to watch on election night.